NEW JERSEY – The National Weather Service has issued a winter storm warning for New Jersey, starting from 4 a.m. on Thursday morning until 10 a.m. on Friday. The anticipated coastal low is in the process of forming and will likely position itself slightly farther out to sea than models indicated on Tuesday. This will likely allow a slightly larger area to see a changeover to sleet, freezing rain, and all rain for the majority of far southeastern coastal regions from Ocean County and south.
The storm will arrive in New Jersey during early to mid-morning (6 to 9 a.m. from south to north), and areas other than the southeastern parts of the state will most assuredly see the storm start with a solid punch of snow through Thursday afternoon. By then, many areas in the central portion of the state may see a change to sleet and freezing rain, thereby creating a layer of ice to go along with the snow. Areas north of I-78 are likely going to see mostly snow, with a far shorter period of freezing rain or rain before changing back to all snow late Thursday. Areas to the North and West (Sussex and Warren Counties in New Jersey, and Putnam, Rockland, and Westchester counties in New York) will likely see nothing but snow for a solid six to 12 hours.
As the center of the storm moves further up the coast, winds will shift from offshore to the North, which will turn most areas back to light snow for the duration of the storm. The major punch and bite of this storm will occur from Thursday morning until early Thursday evening. This will be an especially dangerous storm as far as travel is concerned. The snow will fall at heavy rates during the day on Thursday and will be even more treacherous in areas where icing will be prevalent. Use extreme care while out. If you are able to stay home, it is strongly advised.
Expect little to no accumulations in the southern portion of the state, two to four inches of snow and sleet south of I-195, four to six inches of snow and sleet from I-195 to I-78, and six to eight inches of snow north of I-78. It is quite likely that some northern areas could see even more, as moisture ratios of greater than 10 to one are quite likely in this fast-moving storm.
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