ROBBINSVILLE, NJ - The Week 7 ratings are out, and things are starting to take shape in the North Group 1 rankings. But you will have to wait for Week 8 to be done to know what the matchups will be and where people will go, because, things could get confusing, even after the games are played.
(Editor's note: If you are wondering how teams could already have played eight games, and we are just heading into Week 8, the NJSIAA football season can actually start in what the state refers to as 'Week 0". )
First, some key terms defined.
Strength Index: A new number, this is basically the number a team earns for its results. Or think of it as a modified Born Index number, as they took away some, but not all, of your historical success, by normalizing team’s starting numbers earlier in the season. See the NJSIAA regulations about how that is calculated exactly, but basically it is based on a team does based on the expected outcome. Your rating goes up if you beat the spread, it goes down if you don’t cover.
The Strength Index does not directly impact the rankings. It is used in the Opponent Strength Index calculation.
Power Points: This has not changed. Power points are calculated by three factors.
Quality Points: 6 for win, 3 for a tie 0 for a loss
Group Points: 1 point for a Group 1, 2 for Group 2, 3 for Group 3, etc, for a win or tie
Residual Points: Based on your opponents record, teams that defeat a team are awarded three points for each of their opponents wins, capped at 18. 1 point for each of your opponents wins if you lose the game.
The total is then averaged by games played for the Average Power Point.
Opponent Strength Index: The Opponent Strength Index points is calculated as followed.
1. For wins, 100% of the opponent’s Strength Index rating
2. For losses, 50% of the opponent’s SI rating
Okay, after all that math…
So who is number 1? Cresskill. Maybe. Cresskill is #1 in the rankings, even with their 29-28 loss to Park Ridge on Friday night in the NJIC Bowl semi-finals. At 6-1, the Cougars are still number 1, primarily due to their victory over Hasbrouck Heights to start the season. That win, and their last minute win over Butler give them an edge in Opponent Strength Index, which counts for 60% of the United Power Rating.
BUT… There is a provision in the rules put in this year that says if you have beaten the team who is ranked directly ahead of you, you leapfrog that team. This could come in play in the rankings in a few different places.
And … Park Ridge is second in the poll, and would become the number 1 team if the season were to end today. Of course, it really does not matter that much, because if the number 1 and 2 team were to meet, it would be in the finals, which are played at a neutral site. So there would be no home field advantage at stake.
By the Way: Park Ridge is the only remaining undefeated team in North Group 1. The Owls play at Lyndhurst Friday for the NJIC championship.
Third is Hasbrouck Heights. The Aviators own the second highest strength index, behind Butler (who is ranked 8th). Butler, who has some blowout wins this year, is 6-2, having lost to Cresskill and Hasbrouck Heights. The Aviators, following their season opening loss to Cresskill, has won six in a row. They play 17th rated Wallington on Friday evening in the NJIC crossover games.
So what will happen? Who knows?
If Cresskill and Park Ridge both win, you would think that Cresskill would remain up top, and with Park Ridge two in the rankings, before the jump over. If only one wins, they will be the top seed. Hasbrouck Heights need to win and hope that both teams lose to jump into the one spot, and even then, it is not guaranteed, as Wallington does not really help their OSI or power points that much.
One last thing: What happens once the rankings are finalized? North I and North II will be decided by rank only, without any geographic considerations utilizing the S curve.
Week 1 Games
1 vs 16
2 vs 15
4 vs 13
3 vs 14
5 vs 12
6 vs 11
8 vs 11
7 vs 10
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