Newark Math Professor Predicts MLB Post-season Teams


NEWARK, NJ - Sorry New York Yankees and Mets fans. A Newark math professor predicts your teams won't make the post season.

New Jersey Institute of Technology math professor Bruce Bukiet predicts the Boston Red Sox will top the American League East and the Washington Nationals will take the National League East.

Bukiet, who is also an associate dean at the Newark college and a Mets fan, has just published his model’s projections of how the standings should look at the end of Major League Baseball’s regular season in 2017.

Sign Up for E-News

It's the 20th year that Bukiet has applied mathematical analysis to compute the number of regular season games each Major League Baseball team should win. Last year, he correctly predicted 8 of the 10 MLB post-season teams in 2016 and that the St. Louis Cardinals would just miss making the playoffs.

Though his expertise is in mathematical modeling (rather than baseball), his projections have consistently compared well with those of so-called experts.

Bukiet predicts his the Mets should make the playoffs, the but that the Washington Nationals, with 97 wins, should repeat as winners of the National League East.

The World Champion Chicago Cubs and Los Angeles Dodgers should repeat as winner of the National League Central and West Divisions with 104 wins each to lead the Major Leagues.

The San Francisco Giants with 95 wins should be the fifth National League post-season team.

The same five teams, which were correctly called by Bukiet, made the post-season in 2016 and once again the St. Louis Cardinals with 88 wins should be the best team that doesn’t make the post-season – though it shouldn’t be so close this time.

In the American League, Bukiet’s model has the Boston Red Sox winning 91 games to clinch the American League East and the Cleveland Indians winning 99 games and repeating as division winners in the American League Central.

Bukiet predicts the Houston Astros to win 94 games and the American League West. Last year, Bukiet also predicted the Astros would win, which did not pan out. The Texas Rangers won that division.

The model calls for the Toronto Blue Jays to win 90 games and the Detroit Tigers with 86 wins to be the American League Wild Card teams. The Texas Rangers, Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees should all be 6 games behind the Tigers and this not make the post-season.

At the other end of the spectrum, the San Diego Padres with 53 wins should replace the Minnesota Twins as the team with the worst record in baseball. The Padres should win just over half as many games as the division winning Dodgers, ending up 51 games out of first place. The White Sox with 64 wins should win the least games in the American League.

Bukiet makes these projections to demonstrate and promote the power of math. He wants to show young people that math can be fun, that it can be applied to improve one’s understanding of many aspects of life and that if you love mathematics, it can be a great college major and lead to a satisfying career.

Bukiet bases his projections on a mathematical model he started developing in the late 1980s. He has made various revisions over the years. His results have been noted in many publications and he has been predictions champ at several times.  See more results for his baseball modeling, including the projected wins for each of the 30 Major League Baseball teams, at and at 

TAP Into Another Town's News:

You May Also Be Interested In

Sign Up for E-News

Roselle/Roselle Park

Wastewater Sewerage Authority Looking for Treatment Plant Operator

March 12, 2018

LINDEN/ROSELLE, NJ - The Linden/Roselle Sewerage Authority is seeking to fill a position for a Wastewater Sewerage Treatment Plant Operator.  

This is a full-time position that entails shift work, 7 days a week. Candidate must have a High School diploma or obtained equivalency; possession of a valid S-1 New Jersey Wastewater Operators License is preferred but not ...

Teacher Training at Trailside

MOUNTAINSIDE, NJ  - Teacher Training programs at Trailside will be offered this spring for teachers of students in Kindergarten through grade twelve starting March 15.

Project WET, a teacher training program for teachers K – 12 will be offered on Thurs. March 15 from 9 a.m.. to 3 p.m.  This workshop will provide the necessary tools, resources, and lessons for teachers ...

Daylight Savings Time Begins this Weekend - Remember to Turn Your Clocks Forward

ROSELLE/ROSELLE PARK, NJ - The winter months are about to come to an end. You know spring is definitely around the corner when Daylight Savings Time begins. A reminder to everyone to turn your clocks forward one hour tonight when you go to bed. Daylight Savings time officially begins at 2 a.m. Sunday morning. 

While many will dread losing that hour of sleep, that extra hour of daylight ...

Roselle Park to Hold Third Annual St. Patrick’s Day Event

ROSELLE PARK, NJ - The Borough of Roselle Park will hold their third annual St. Patrick’s Day celebration on Sat., March 17 from 12 p.m. to 3 the Casano Community Center.

Starting at noon, Joe Carosalli’s Masterpiece Orchestra will perform authentic Irish music. Lunch will be served and will consist of corned beef and cabbage, boiled potatoes, carrots, Irish soda bread, and ...

Mountain Biking in Watchung Reservation Revisited at Freeholders Meeting

March 9, 2018

ELIZABETH, NJ - Mountain biking in Watchung Reservation was revisited in the public comment session at the Union County Freeholders meeting on Thursday.  The board had voted not to approve building bike trails in May 2017 after a months-long debate.

Jamie Meiselman of Westfield, and co-leader of the Union County Chapter of the Jersey Off Road Bicycling Association (JORBA), raised the ...

Totowa Rapper Accused of Trying to Bring Loaded Gun Through Security at Newark Airport

March 12, 2018

NEWARK, N.J. – Rapper Juelz Santana, a resident of Totowa, faces weapon charges after allegedly trying to get a loaded firearm through security at Newark Liberty International Airport, according to U.S. Attorney Craig Carpenito.

The rapper, whose real name is LaRon L. James, 36, surrendered to police this morning. He has been charged with  one count of possession of a firearm by a ...

Union County 4-H Club Reaches Out to Help after Hurricane Maria

March 16, 2018

Student members of the Union County 4-H Variety Club reached across local and state borders to help displaced pets earlier this year. Through their “4-H for our 4 Pawed Friends” community service project, they collected donations to help St. Hubert’s Animal Welfare Center in Madison after the organization sheltered more than 700 pets in the aftermath of Hurricane Maria.

A ...

Still Searching - A Follow Up on the Boxer Found in Roselle

March 5, 2018

ROSELLE, NJ - The search continues for the owners of a female boxer found on East 7th Ave. near Chandler Ave. and given to Roselle police on Feb. 16. The dog was transported to the Newark Humane Society and was put on hold for the owner to claim. 

The hold time has expired and the dog has not been claimed. She was transferred to the Montclair Animal Shelter and will be fostered in ...

In Cold Blood by Truman Capote

In Cold Blood by Truman Capote (Random House, 1965)


In Cold Blood is, quite simply, the grand-daddy of true crime writing, dubbed by Capote, himself, as the first non-fiction novel (although Norman Mailer argued the point when he published The Executioner's Song in 1979.) The conditions under which I read In Cold Blood for the first time were pretty weird, which was another ...

Ian Hockley Visits New Jersey to Introduce Program to Empower Youth

This week I am taking a departure from book reviewing to share an important program that has been introduced to New Jersey this week by Mr. Ian Hockley, founder of the Dylan's Wings of Change Foundation. On December 14, 2012, Hockley's five year old son, an autistic child named Dylan, was gunned down in his classroom in the Sandy Hook Elementary School shooting. Dylan, a shy and adorable ...