ROXBURY, NJ - Forget the diet. Go ahead and eat as many chips as you want during tonight's Super Bowl because you and your snow shovel will be burning off some of those calories tomorrow.
As much as a foot of snow, followed by ice, could fall on Roxbury this evening into Monday, according to the National Weather Service (NWS). Aware it missed the mark in predicting a blizzard for the area last week, government forecasters are cautiously calling for eight to 10 inches for Morris County, but they are advising that 12 inches are possible.
Don't expect the snow and ice to melt soon. A brutal cold wave is predicted to engulf the area in the storm's wake. Tuesday morning could bring temperatures below zero, according to the NWS.
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"All of the current storm models suggest that the Monday morning commute will be adversely affected," said Jeffrey Paul, director of the Morris County Office of Emergency Management. "Some of the models suggest that the evening commute will be negatively impacted as well."
Paul pointed out that some of the forecast models show snow accumulation of up to only eight inches, "a bit down" from earlier predictions. However, Paul said the crucial factor will be the movement of the so-called "transition line" between rain and snow.
Roxbury relies on WeatherWorks of Hackettstown, a paid service, for its predictions, said Roxbury Public Works Director Richard Blood. "Their prediction right now is seven to 12 inches, but they only have a 45 percent confidence rating in that," he said with a chuckle. "They hinted it could be less than the last storm, but they never came out and put that in writing. They say the rain/snow line is going to be between Route 78 and Route 80, and a lot depends on where that line moves."
Roxbury will have 30 plows on the road, 20 owned by the township and 10 owned by private contractors, said Blood. "We start our efforts on the hills," he explained. "That would be the Landing area and Mooney Mountain. That's really where we worry about people traversing hills. Those are typically the trickiest roads."