# Newark math professor predicts MLB post-season teams

Sorry New York Yankees and Mets fans. A Newark math professor predicts your teams won't make the post season.

New Jersey Institute of Technology math professor Bruce Bukiet predicts the Boston Red Sox will top the American League East and the Washington Nationals will take the National League East.

Bukiet, who is also an associate dean at the Newark college and a Mets fan, has just published his model’s projections of how the standings should look at the end of Major League Baseball’s regular season in 2017.

It's the 20th year that Bukiet has applied mathematical analysis to compute the number of regular season games each Major League Baseball team should win. Last year, he correctly predicted 8 of the 10 MLB post-season teams in 2016 and that the St. Louis Cardinals would just miss making the playoffs.

Though his expertise is in mathematical modeling (rather than baseball), his projections have consistently compared well with those of so-called experts.

Bukiet predicts his the Mets should make the playoffs, the but that the Washington Nationals, with 97 wins, should repeat as winners of the National League East.

The World Champion Chicago Cubs and Los Angeles Dodgers should repeat as winner of the National League Central and West Divisions with 104 wins each to lead the Major Leagues.

The San Francisco Giants with 95 wins should be the fifth National League post-season team.

The same five teams, which were correctly called by Bukiet, made the post-season in 2016 and once again the St. Louis Cardinals with 88 wins should be the best team that doesn’t make the post-season – though it shouldn’t be so close this time.

In the American League, Bukiet’s model has the Boston Red Sox winning 91 games to clinch the American League East and the Cleveland Indians winning 99 games and repeating as division winners in the American League Central.

Bukiet predicts the Houston Astros to win 94 games and the American League West. Last year, Bukiet also predicted the Astros would win, which did not pan out. The Texas Rangers won that division.

The model calls for the Toronto Blue Jays to win 90 games and the Detroit Tigers with 86 wins to be the American League Wild Card teams. The Texas Rangers, Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees should all be 6 games behind the Tigers and this not make the post-season.

At the other end of the spectrum, the San Diego Padres with 53 wins should replace the Minnesota Twins as the team with the worst record in baseball. The Padres should win just over half as many games as the division winning Dodgers, ending up 51 games out of first place. The White Sox with 64 wins should win the least games in the American League.

Bukiet makes these projections to demonstrate and promote the power of math. He wants to show young people that math can be fun, that it can be applied to improve one’s understanding of many aspects of life and that if you love mathematics, it can be a great college major and lead to a satisfying career.

Bukiet bases his projections on a mathematical model he started developing in the late 1980s. He has made various revisions over the years. His results have been noted in many publications and he has been predictions champ at baseballphd.net several times.  See more results for his baseball modeling, including the projected wins for each of the 30 Major League Baseball teams, at  http://web.njit.edu/~bukiet/baseball/baseball.html and at www.egrandslam.com.

## TAP Into Another Town's News:

#### TAPinto Nearby ...

You May Also Be Interested In

Wed, April 11, 5:00 pm
East Brunswick
Family Event / Camp and Childcare Open House

South Brunswick-Cranbury

## South Brunswick and Cranbury Police Blotter

August 9, 2017

See the most recent messages from South Brunswick Twp Police Department, powered by Nixle.

## Upcoming Events

Sat, March 24

Black Diamond Billiard's, Union

## Ladies 9-Ball Pro-Am by the Garden State Pool Tour

Sat, March 24, 8:30 AM

East Brunswick

## Spinathon 2018

Sun, March 25, 3:00 PM

Mayo Performing Arts Center, Morristown

## Murphy’s Puerto Rico Relief Commission Looks to Connect Families to Resources

March 20, 2018

PERTH AMBOY - Stephanie Márquez-Villafañe, president of the student-based Puerto Rican action group Rutgers Unión Estudiantil Puertorriqueña, offers a sobering assessment of New Jersey’s Puerto Rican student community in the aftermath of Hurricane Maria, the worst hurricane to hit the U.S. territory in recorded history.

"University students have ...

## East Brunswick's Girl Scouts Work with a Young Woman's Busy Schedule

March 21, 2018

EAST BRUNSWICK, NJ - Have you wanted to join a Girl Scout troop, but just don't have the time? Check out this out. Busy teens can be Independent Girl Scouts -- all the programs and awards without the scheduled troop meetings. Teen girls can do badge work, attend events, travel, earn awards or do community service on their own time. (And ...

### Murphy’s Puerto Rico Relief Commission Looks to Connect Families to Resources

PERTH AMBOY - Stephanie Márquez-Villafañe, president of the student-based Puerto Rican action group Rutgers Unión Estudiantil Puertorriqueña, offers a sobering assessment of New Jersey’s Puerto Rican student community in the aftermath of Hurricane Maria, the worst hurricane to hit the U.S. territory in recorded history.

"University students have ...

### Rutgers voices support for proposed state budget

NEW BRUNSWICK - Rutgers University officials have often been wary of the governor's annual budget message, wondering what type of budget cuts the university may sustain and how it would potentially impact tuition and the overall quality of education.

This budget message, delivered March 13, appears to be a sigh of relief.

Pete McDonough, Vice President of External Affairs at ...

## In Cold Blood by Truman Capote

In Cold Blood by Truman Capote (Random House, 1965)

In Cold Blood is, quite simply, the grand-daddy of true crime writing, dubbed by Capote, himself, as the first non-fiction novel (although Norman Mailer argued the point when he published The Executioner's Song in 1979.) The conditions under which I read In Cold Blood for the first time were pretty weird, which was another ...

## Ian Hockley Visits New Jersey to Introduce Program to Empower Youth

This week I am taking a departure from book reviewing to share an important program that has been introduced to New Jersey this week by Mr. Ian Hockley, founder of the Dylan's Wings of Change Foundation. On December 14, 2012, Hockley's five year old son, an autistic child named Dylan, was gunned down in his classroom in the Sandy Hook Elementary School shooting. Dylan, a shy and adorable ...

## Middlesex County Young Republicans Host "Road to Victory" Event at the Green Turtle

March 21, 2018

NORTH BRUNSWICK, NJ -  Middlesex County Young Republican Chairman John Steiner would like to announce the Middlesex County Young Republicans "Road to Victory" Reception, which will take place on March 22 at the Green Turtle in North Brunswick from 7:30 PM to 9:30 PM.

This event will serve as the official launch for the 2018 campaign season for the Middlesex ...

### Rep. Watson Coleman Urges Support for Students Participating in Protests: Letter to Local School Officials Asks for Encouragement Rather Than Punishment

EWING, NJ – Today, Congresswoman Bonnie Watson Coleman (D-NJ) sent letters to principals and other school administrators in New Jersey’s 12th Congressional District urging support and encouragement for students who engage in protests and demonstrations for gun violence prevention amid reports that some New Jersey schools had suspended or otherwise punished students for their ...

### ECSNJ Partnership with Rutgers Behavioral Health Helps Students Manage Life’s Challenges

PISCATAWAY – A collaboration with Rutgers University Behavioral Health Care is providing more behavioral and emotional support for students attending two Educational Services Commission of New Jersey (ESCNJ) schools.

Appearing on ESCNJ’s Better Together podcast, Assistant Superintendent Gary Molenaar said Rutgers University Behavioral Health Care “is a recognized ...