WAYNE, NJ – In the first two weeks of October, there has been a statistically significant increase in the number of new positive cases for Wayne residents. The average number of new cases per day for Wayne residents July through September was 2.43, while the average number of new cases per day for the first two weeks of October has jumped up to 4.21, according to the Wayne Township website.

Statewide, new coronavirus cases are also increasing. There was an average of 400 cases per day in New Jersey in the first 15 days of September, an average of 554 cases per day in the last 15 days of September and an average of 802 cases per day in the first fifteen days of October, according to data on the NJ.gov coronavirus website.

A second wave of Coronavirus has been predicted by many experts, including Passaic County Director of Public Health, Dr. Charlene Gungil. In late June, during an interview with TAPinto Wayne, Gungil predicted that the second wave would happen this fall, and this increase in numbers could be the beginning of that second wave, though it is still too early to tell.

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The increase in new positive cases may be the result of an increase in coronavirus testing, and it may also be due to the increase in indoor activities such as in-person school, indoor dining, gyms and movie theaters which all re-opened last month.

The good news for Wayne residents is that there has not been a death reported due to complications of COVID-19 since late July.

“Our last death was reported on 7/26 in a nursing home 66 days ago,” said Mayor Chris Vergano during his September coronavirus update. Seventeen days has passed since then without another death reported on the Township website.  This is despite having 36 residents over 60 years old testing positive since then; twenty of which were over 70 years old.

For New Jersey as a whole, the death rate also remains low. The first fifteen days of September had an average of 6.53 deaths per day due to complications of COVID-19. The last fifteen days of September had an average of 5.26 deaths per day, and the first fifteen days of October showed an average of 5 deaths per day. This according to the New York times.

For Wayne Township between October 1 and October 14, there were 59 new positive cases. This is an average of 4.21 new positive cases per day.  Projected out over the month of October, this would mean 131 new cases.  This is nearly double the average of new cases over the last three months.

Comparing month-to-month

  • In July, there were 74 new positive cases; 2.38 new cases per day.
  • In August, there were 76 new positive cases; 2.71 new cases per day.
  • In September, there were 74 new positive cases; 2.74 new cases per day.

Additional data points.

  • The age range for new cases in Wayne for the first 14 days of October is 1 – 69 years old.
  • The average age of new cases is 32.71 years old.
  • Of the 59 new cases, 24 were female and 35 were male.